Memmingen 1-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memmingen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.78/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.62
+5% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memmingen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Memmingen Memmingen 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
04.08.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
18.03.2022 Memmingen Memmingen 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 1-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
16.11.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
21.11.2015 Memmingen Memmingen 3-1 HT 1-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Memmingen vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memmingen and Bayreuth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Memmingen and 2.33 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Memmingen vs Bayreuth?

Memmingen 1-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memmingen vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memmingen win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Memmingen 33%, draw 33%, Bayreuth 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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