Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.88/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.20
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-2 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
30.03.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.09.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-5 HT 0-3 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.33 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II?

Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 33%, draw 24%, Nürnberg II 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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