Aubstadt 3-5 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.92/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.47
-37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
16.11.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-3 HT 1-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
02.08.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-2 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen saw off Aubstadt 5-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Illertissen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aubstadt and 1.83 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Aubstadt 3-5 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 34%, draw 28%, Illertissen 38%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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