Würzburger Kickers 3-3 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
71%
-0.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.5pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.21
+11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Schwaben Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
26.07.2024 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-1 HT 0-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Würzburger Kickers and Schwaben Augsburg couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Würzburger Kickers carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 1.00 for Schwaben Augsburg.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Würzburger Kickers 3-3 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 70%, draw 19%, Schwaben Augsburg 11%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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