Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.71/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/2.28
-4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-2 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
30.03.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.09.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-5 HT 0-3 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II and Nürnberg II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.33 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II?

Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 43%, draw 28%, Nürnberg II 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
19 Apr 2025
14:00 VFC Plauen vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
14:00 Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →
14:00 Meuselwitz vs Hallescher FC Analysis →
15:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
15:00 SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Frankfurt II Analysis →
15:00 Lehnerz vs Stuttgarter Kickers Analysis →