Colwyn Bay 0-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Sep 2025

Colwyn Bay
0-1 HT 0-1
Bala Town
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2025/2026

Colwyn Bay vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
16%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 23% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
54%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
16%
Away Win
20%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.5pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colwyn Bay v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Colwyn Bay vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bala Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.08.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
26.12.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-3 HT 0-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
07.10.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
21.07.2015 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town HAZ
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town edged past Colwyn Bay 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Colwyn Bay at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colwyn Bay and 1.75 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Bala Town?

Colwyn Bay 0-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 62%, draw 22%, Bala Town 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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