Cardiff MU vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
Cardiff MU 0-4 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics
Penybont swept aside Cardiff MU 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cardiff MU had 56% of the ball to Penybont's 44%, shots finished 3-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.17 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Penybont?
Cardiff MU 0-4 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 25%, draw 27%, Penybont 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.