Penybont 0-0 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.03
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +61%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cardiff MU
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
31.12.2024 Penybont Penybont 2-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
18.10.2024 Penybont Penybont 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALWK
15.10.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
26.12.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-3 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
29.08.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
0-0
AWAY Cardiff MU
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont and Cardiff MU fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Penybont carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Penybont had 47% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 53%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Penybont and 1.00 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Cardiff MU?

Penybont 0-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Penybont 55%, draw 26%, Cardiff MU 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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