Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 5-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Caernarfon Town edged past Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.67 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Connahs Quay 1-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 45%, draw 17%, Caernarfon Town 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.