Eemdijk 2-1 Excelsior 31 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 23 Sep 2025

Eemdijk
2-1 HT 1-0
Excelsior 31
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2025/2026

Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.8
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.46
No
35%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
16%
Draw
23%
-6.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
+0.9pp
35%
BTTS No
36%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eemdijk v Excelsior 31 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eemdijk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior 31 EU Bookmakers 27%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eemdijk edged past Excelsior 31 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eemdijk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31?

Eemdijk 2-1 Excelsior 31 in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eemdijk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eemdijk 50%, draw 16%, Excelsior 31 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eemdijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eemdijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOK More Netherlands - KNVB Cup
23 Sep 2025
21:00 Kozakken Boys vs BVV Barendrecht Analysis →
21:00 Hoek vs Blauw Geel 38 Analysis →
21:00 Noordwijk vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
21:00 De Treffers vs RKAV Volendam Analysis →
21:00 Lisse vs Urk Analysis →
21:00 DOVO Veenendaal vs TEC Analysis →