Hoek 1-0 Blauw Geel 38 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoek EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Blauw Geel 38 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoek
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Blauw Geel 38
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
14.10.2023 Blauw Geel 38 Blauw Geel 38 2-0 HT 1-0 Hoek Hoek HOL4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoek
1-0
AWAY Blauw Geel 38
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoek vs Blauw Geel 38
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoek nicked a narrow win over Blauw Geel 38 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoek as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoek had 46% of the ball to Blauw Geel 38's 54%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Hoek vs Blauw Geel 38?

Hoek 1-0 Blauw Geel 38 in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoek vs Blauw Geel 38?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoek 47%, draw 27%, Blauw Geel 38 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoek) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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