Lisse vs Urk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lisse v Urk — Team-Based Signals
Lisse 4-1 Urk — Actual Match Statistics
Lisse swept aside Urk 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lisse as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Lisse had 53% of the ball to Urk's 47%, shots finished 15-6.
What was the final score of Lisse vs Urk?
Lisse 4-1 Urk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lisse vs Urk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lisse win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lisse 65%, draw 15%, Urk 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lisse), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.