Kozakken Boys 2-3 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
15%
3.72
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.6pp
15%
Draw
24%
-8.5pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozakken Boys
2W-0D-0L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
198 Passes 238
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
28.04.2018 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozakken Boys
2-3
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kozakken Boys vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht nicked a narrow win over Kozakken Boys 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kozakken Boys at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Kozakken Boys had 47% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 53%, shots finished 13-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kozakken Boys had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kozakken Boys and 0.50 for BVV Barendrecht.

What was the final score of Kozakken Boys vs BVV Barendrecht?

Kozakken Boys 2-3 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozakken Boys vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozakken Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kozakken Boys 49%, draw 15%, BVV Barendrecht 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kozakken Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kozakken Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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