AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 Swansea City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.38
No
35%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.2pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.49/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.93
+45% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Swansea City U21
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
28.03.2025 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 HT 4-0 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
24.10.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 2-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
12.02.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 3-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Swansea City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 cruised past Swansea City U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 1.67 for Swansea City U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Swansea City U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 Swansea City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 57%, draw 22%, Swansea City U21 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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