AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 Swansea City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.33
No
35%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.4pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.1pp
35%
BTTS No
29%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.33/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.43
+32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Swansea City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
24.10.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 2-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
12.02.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 3-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Swansea City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 ran out comfortable winners over Swansea City U21 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Swansea City U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 2.50 for Swansea City U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Swansea City U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 Swansea City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 46%, draw 30%, Swansea City U21 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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