Birmingham City U21 0-2 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.9pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.22/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.24/1.16
+48% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Burnley U21
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
03.12.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 8-1 HT 5-1 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
02.02.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
20.11.2023 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 2-2 HT 1-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 got the better of Birmingham City U21 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burnley U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Birmingham City U21 and 4.00 for Burnley U21.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Birmingham City U21 0-2 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 22%, draw 23%, Burnley U21 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Under 2.5
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