Kashima Antlers 3-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.07
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.77
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
26%
3.06
6+
8%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.34
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.44
X/2
9%
8.54
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
3%
21.7
2/2
13%
6.36
2/X
5%
14.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kashima Antlers The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
424 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 352
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
02.03.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
16.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
07.05.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
06.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-3 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
3 - 1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.92 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
360 Passes 439
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kashima Antlers saw off Cerezo Osaka 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Kashima Antlers had 47% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.92 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.83 for Cerezo Osaka.

Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka Result & Final Score

Kashima Antlers 3 - 1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 53%, draw 23%, Cerezo Osaka 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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