Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerezo Osaka v Kashima Antlers — Team-Based Signals
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP
0-1
HT 0-0
Kashima Antlers
JAP
3-3
HT 1-1
Cerezo Osaka
JAP
0-3
HT 0-2
Kashima Antlers
JAP
Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Kashima Antlers — Actual Match Statistics
Cerezo Osaka squeezed past Kashima Antlers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cerezo Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 65% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 35%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.33 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cerezo Osaka's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.83 for Kashima Antlers.
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers?
Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 36%, draw 25%, Kashima Antlers 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.