Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
6.21
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.52
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
12%
15.4
X/1
17%
6.44
X/2
6%
4.79
X/X
19%
3.38
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.51
2/X
3%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.05/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.09
+18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.1 Crosses 19.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.33 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
350 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
26.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
13.07.2005 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-3 HT 3-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.85 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 342
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe edged past Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vissel Kobe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 42% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 58%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.85 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.33 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 30%, draw 34%, Vissel Kobe 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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