Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.66
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
9%
6.49
X/2
17%
5.17
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
11%
33.5
2/2
12%
3.28
2/X
10%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.27
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
17.3 Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.52 xG 1.45
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 602
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 6-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
08.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
08.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
07.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.10.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.08.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.80 xG 2.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
370 Passes 380
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 39
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse and Kawasaki Frontale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 48% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 52%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.80 to 2.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 2.67 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 32%, draw 32%, Kawasaki Frontale 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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