Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.16
X/2
15%
6.32
X/X
9%
4.29
2/1
11%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.65
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.25/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.40
-30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.8 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
225 Passes 261
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
26.06.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.03.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.73 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 331
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga beat Shonan Bellmare 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Kyoto Sanga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 48% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 52%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 0.83 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare?

Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 40%, draw 29%, Shonan Bellmare 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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