UCV 1-4 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.33/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
-17% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.0 Crosses 17.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
200 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
25.07.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
19.05.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 5-2 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.02.2024 UCV UCV 3-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.10.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 3-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
05.02.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-4
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.74 xG 1.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
415 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos ran out comfortable winners over UCV 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, UCV had 61% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 39%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.74 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UCV and 1.33 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of UCV vs Metropolitanos?

UCV 1-4 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UCV 54%, draw 20%, Metropolitanos 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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