Kings Lynn Town 1-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 34% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.14/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
-19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Southport
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Southport Southport 0-4 HT 0-2 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
09.09.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 1-4 HT 0-4 Southport Southport İCON
15.04.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Southport Southport İCON
15.11.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
16.11.2019 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 1-1 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
1-0
AWAY Southport
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Lynn Town squeezed past Southport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kings Lynn Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 56% of the ball to Southport's 44%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 1.60 for Southport.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Southport?

Kings Lynn Town 1-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 46%, draw 25%, Southport 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kings Lynn Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
23 Nov 2024
00:00 Curzon Ashton vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
18:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Bath City Analysis →
18:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Enfield Town Analysis →
18:00 Slough Town vs Welling United Analysis →
18:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley Analysis →
18:00 Boreham Wood vs Torquay United Analysis →