Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.22
2-3
42%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.74
6+
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town The Market 31%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.86/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.47
+24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
07.10.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 3-3 HT 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.04.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
27.09.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
26.03.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
22.01.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 0
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels got the better of Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tonbridge Angels as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 56% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 44%, shots finished 7-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 2.00 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 49%, draw 24%, Hemel Hempstead Town 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Under 2.5
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