Harborough Town 4-1 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
29%
+12.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +17%
1.01/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.86
-38% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +82%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town cruised past Banbury United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Banbury United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Banbury United?

Harborough Town 4-1 Banbury United in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 35%, draw 23%, Banbury United 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banbury United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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