Mickleover Sports 1-3 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.42/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.69
-9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington beat Mickleover Sports 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mickleover Sports at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs Workington?

Mickleover Sports 1-3 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 42%, draw 23%, Workington 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mickleover Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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