Walton & Hersham 4-4 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+11.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.03/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
+30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walton & Hersham
4-4
AWAY Gloucester City
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Walton & Hersham vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walton & Hersham and Gloucester City shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 4-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gloucester City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Walton & Hersham had 56% of the ball to Gloucester City's 44%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Walton & Hersham vs Gloucester City?

Walton & Hersham 4-4 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walton & Hersham vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Walton & Hersham 32%, draw 23%, Gloucester City 45%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gloucester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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