Carrarese 1-0 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.25
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
12%
6.15
X/2
17%
4.96
X/X
11%
3.6
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.57
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.12/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.15
-46% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.8 Crosses 20.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
18.08.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese HAZ
18.10.2015 Carrarese Carrarese 2-2 HT 2-0 Pisa Pisa İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Pisa
1.16 xG 0.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
407 Passes 179
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese edged past Pisa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Carrarese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carrarese had 65% of the ball to Pisa's 35%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pisa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrarese and 1.50 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Pisa?

Carrarese 1-0 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 36%, draw 27%, Pisa 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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