Sassuolo 4-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
11%
4.02
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
10%
24.3
2/2
8%
8.16
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
3.28/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.55
+87% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
15.6 Crosses 15.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.01 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 Passes 343
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Salernitana Salernitana 2-2 HT 0-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
10.11.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 1-2 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
22.04.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
02.10.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
12.03.2022 Salernitana Salernitana 2-2 HT 1-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
26.09.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
4-0
AWAY Salernitana
3.95 xG 0.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
485 Passes 332
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
48 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo swept aside Salernitana 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Sassuolo had 57% of the ball to Salernitana's 43%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.95 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.50 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Salernitana?

Sassuolo 4-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 52%, draw 27%, Salernitana 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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