Cesena 1-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.04
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
10%
8.4
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
2.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.30
+35% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
13.7 Crosses 15.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.02.2023 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
19.10.2022 Reggiana Reggiana 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
21.03.2022 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
14.11.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
09.11.2019 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.11 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
377 Passes 330
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Reggiana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cesena had 53% of the ball to Reggiana's 47%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.11 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Cesena and 0.80 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Reggiana?

Cesena 1-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cesena 48%, draw 27%, Reggiana 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5
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