Catanzaro 2-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.63
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
8%
4.26
X/2
10%
7.84
X/X
10%
4.5
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
6.18
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.57/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.49
+47% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
20.0 Crosses 12.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mantova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.04.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
19.11.2005 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-2
AWAY Mantova
0.72 xG 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
264 Passes 269
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Mantova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Catanzaro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 50% of the ball to Mantova's 50%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Catanzaro and 0.50 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Mantova?

Catanzaro 2-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 47%, draw 24%, Mantova 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Catanzaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Over 2.5
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