VfB Oldenburg 2-2 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.38/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.44
-18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 3-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
26.11.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 5-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg and Phönix Lübeck couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 3.00 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck?

VfB Oldenburg 2-2 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 35%, draw 27%, Phönix Lübeck 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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