Celje 1-0 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

Celje
1-0 HT 1-0
Koper
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.60/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.13
+11% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Koper
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
12.05.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
14.03.2024 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
17.09.2023 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
13.05.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.03.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
1-0
AWAY Koper
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Celje vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje squeezed past Koper 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Celje had 56% of the ball to Koper's 44%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celje and 0.50 for Koper.

What was the final score of Celje vs Koper?

Celje 1-0 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Celje 47%, draw 25%, Koper 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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