UCAM Murcia 3-1 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.55/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.56
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportiva Minera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-2 HT 1-2 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera İS4
08.12.2024 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera 0-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
3-1
AWAY Deportiva Minera
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia got the better of Deportiva Minera 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 52% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 48%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.00 for Deportiva Minera.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Deportiva Minera?

UCAM Murcia 3-1 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 55%, draw 25%, Deportiva Minera 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
23 Nov 2025
13:30 Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Socuellamos Analysis →
14:00 Zaragoza II vs Ebro Analysis →
14:00 Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Union Analysis →
14:00 Castellon II vs Torrent Analysis →
14:00 Andratx vs Espanyol II Analysis →