U. Catolica 2-1 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.63/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
+21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.4 Crosses 20.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palestino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
04.08.2024 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
03.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
13.08.2023 Palestino Palestino 3-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.02.2023 U. Catolica 5-2 HT 3-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.07.2022 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
2-1
AWAY Palestino
1.62 xG 1.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
210 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica edged past Palestino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 38% of the ball to Palestino's 62%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.62 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for U. Catolica and 1.33 for Palestino.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Palestino?

U. Catolica 2-1 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 49%, draw 24%, Palestino 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✓ BTTS Yes
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