Freiburg II 1-2 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.46
No
31%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
69%
BTTS Yes
64%
+4.7pp
31%
BTTS No
36%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.48/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.61
+57% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.08.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
01.03.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
25.08.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg squeezed past Freiburg II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Freiburg II and 2.00 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg?

Freiburg II 1-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 46%, draw 20%, SGV Freiberg 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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