SGV Freiberg 3-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.7pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.0pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
0.98/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.69
-42% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.03.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
25.08.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg cruised past Freiburg II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.00 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II?

SGV Freiberg 3-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 44%, draw 19%, Freiburg II 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ BTTS No
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