SGV Freiberg 2-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.2pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.81/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.32
+25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
25.08.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg got the better of Freiburg II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; SGV Freiberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II?

SGV Freiberg 2-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 36%, draw 26%, Freiburg II 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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