Incheon United 0-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +18%
2.46/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.15
+45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +55%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 10.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cheongju FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 Passes 278
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
13.04.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 0-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
0-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
391 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC squeezed past Incheon United 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Incheon United at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 57% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 43%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Incheon United and 0.50 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Cheongju FC?

Incheon United 0-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 60%, draw 21%, Cheongju FC 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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