Seongnam 2-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.10/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.05
-30% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.0 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
383 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
24.05.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.09.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-1 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
29.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
19.05.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
16.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-0 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-1
AWAY Busan I Park
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
425 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam edged past Busan I Park 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seongnam as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seongnam had 59% of the ball to Busan I Park's 41%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Seongnam and 1.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Busan I Park?

Seongnam 2-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 43%, draw 28%, Busan I Park 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seongnam) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seongnam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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