Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
+9% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.2 Crosses 17.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
344 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
20.04.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
21.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
13.07.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
20.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
442 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Asan Mugunghwa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 63% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 37%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.33 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 40%, draw 24%, Jeonnam Dragons 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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