Deportes Tolima 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.14/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.22
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
17.6 Crosses 14.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
06.04.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.09.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
23.02.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
02.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.03.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
0-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.00 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
389 Passes 183
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 5
23 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima and Atletico Bucaramanga fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 66% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 34%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Deportes Tolima 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 43%, draw 29%, Atletico Bucaramanga 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5
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