Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Atletico Nacional 2-0 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional saw off Deportes Tolima 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 31% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 69%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.71 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Atletico Nacional 2-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 43%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.