Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
31.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
27.01.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
25.11.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
2-0
AWAY Sydney (K)
0.61 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
367 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) got the better of Sydney (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 57% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 43%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 1.33 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 46%, draw 29%, Sydney (K) 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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