Xelaju MC 5-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.30/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.38
-6% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
06.12.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
22.09.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 3-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
14.04.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
28.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
5-1
AWAY Antigua GFC
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC ran out comfortable winners over Antigua GFC 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 52% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.67 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC?

Xelaju MC 5-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 44%, draw 32%, Antigua GFC 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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