Falkirk 4-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 24 Jan 2026

Falkirk
4 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Hibernian
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.74
Over
45%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.86
2-3
48%
1.76
4-5
19%
3.93
6+
4%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.04
1/2
2%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.77
X/2
14%
5.56
X/X
19%
4.35
2/1
2%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.81
2/X
5%
13.5
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Falkirk The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian The Market 40%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
1.21 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 2.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
332 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
23.09.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
12.07.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
25.03.2017 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
31.12.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
12.11.2016 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
4 - 1
AWAY Hibernian
3.64 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
326 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Falkirk vs Hibernian
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Falkirk ran out comfortable winners over Hibernian 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Falkirk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Falkirk's favour, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.64 to 0.73.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Falkirk against 1.67 for Hibernian.

Falkirk vs Hibernian Result & Final Score

Falkirk 4 - 1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Falkirk vs Hibernian Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 33%, draw 30%, Hibernian 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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