Hibernian 3-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.23
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
22%
4.35
X/2
5%
9.55
X/X
7%
5.26
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
10%
7.49
2/X
9%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +50%
1.69/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.90
+6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
26.6 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Falkirk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.43 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
305 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
12.07.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
25.03.2017 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
31.12.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
12.11.2016 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
06.08.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-0
AWAY Falkirk
2.02 xG 0.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
222 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian cruised past Falkirk 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hibernian had 42% of the ball to Falkirk's 58%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hibernian and 1.17 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Hibernian 3-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 55%, draw 25%, Falkirk 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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