Dundee FC 1-3 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.28
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
8%
7.08
X/2
15%
4.96
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
3.03
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.25/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.93
+33% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.9 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
258 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
15.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.11.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.09.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
13.03.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-3
AWAY Aberdeen
1.12 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen saw off Dundee FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee FC had 54% of the ball to Aberdeen's 46%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.12 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dundee FC and 2.00 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Aberdeen?

Dundee FC 1-3 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 29%, draw 26%, Aberdeen 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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