St. Mirren 2-0 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 34% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.31
X/X
13%
4.97
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
8%
6.4
2/X
6%
14.85
Value flag · X/2 at 8.31 — our 15% vs market 8.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.10/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
-33% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 68%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
26.0 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dundee United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
234 Passes 214
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
10.05.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
11.01.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
30.11.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
05.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
2-0
AWAY Dundee United
1.22 xG 1.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
227 Passes 424
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren beat Dundee United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, St. Mirren had 39% of the ball to Dundee United's 61%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

St. Mirren 2-0 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 46%, draw 25%, Dundee United 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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