Motherwell 3-0 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
23%
4.36
X/2
6%
9.55
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
10%
7.46
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.71/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.43
+12% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.6 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Livingston
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
309 Passes 256
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
04.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 4-1 HT 2-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.02.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-1 HT 3-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
07.10.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
24.05.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
3-0
AWAY Livingston
2.41 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
473 Passes 314
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell swept aside Livingston 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Motherwell had 58% of the ball to Livingston's 42%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.41 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Motherwell and 1.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Livingston?

Motherwell 3-0 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 53%, draw 25%, Livingston 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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